bayesian computation
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Simulation-Based Inference via Regression Projection and Batched Discrepancies
Farahi, Arya, Rose, Jonah, Torrey, Paul
We analyze a lightweight simulation-based inference method that infers simulator parameters using only a regression-based projection of the observed data. After fitting a surrogate linear regression once, the procedure simulates small batches at the proposed parameter values and assigns kernel weights based on the resulting batch-residual discrepancy, producing a self-normalized pseudo-posterior that is simple, parallelizable, and requires access only to the fitted regression coefficients rather than raw observations. We formalize the construction as an importance-sampling approximation to a population target that averages over simulator randomness, prove consistency as the number of parameter draws grows, and establish stability in estimating the surrogate regression from finite samples. We then characterize the asymptotic concentration as the batch size increases and the bandwidth shrinks, showing that the pseudo-posterior concentrates on an identified set determined by the chosen projection, thereby clarifying when the method yields point versus set identification. Experiments on a tractable nonlinear model and on a cosmological calibration task using the DREAMS simulation suite illustrate the computational advantages of regression-based projections and the identifiability limitations arising from low-information summaries.
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Continuous Spatiotemporal Events Decoupling through Spike-based Bayesian Computation
Numerous studies have demonstrated that the cognitive processes of the human brain can be modeled using the Bayesian theorem for probabilistic inference of the external world. Spiking neural networks (SNNs), capable of performing Bayesian computation with greater physiological interpretability, offer a novel approach to distributed information processing in the cortex. However, applying these models to real-world scenarios to harness the advantages of brain-like computation remains a challenge. Recently, bio-inspired sensors with high dynamic range and ultra-high temporal resolution have been widely used in extreme vision scenarios. Event streams, generated by various types of motion, represent spatiotemporal data.
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